Supervised Machine-Learning Algorithms in Real-time Prediction of Hypotensive Events.

Overview

Hypotension is common in critically ill patients. Early prediction of hypotensive events in the Intensive Care Units (ICUs) allows clinicians to pre-emptively treat the patient and avoid possible organ damage. In this study, we investigate the performance of various supervised machine-learning classification algorithms along with a real-time labeling technique to predict acute hypotensive events in the ICU. It is shown that logistic regression and SVM yield a better combination of specificity, sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV). Logistic regression is able to predict 85% of events within 30 minutes of their onset with 81% PPV and 96% specificity, while SVM results in 96% specificity, 83% sensitivity and 82% PPV. To further reduce the false alarm rate, we propose a high-level decision-making algorithm that filters isolated false positives identified by the machine-learning algorithms. By implementing this technique, 24% of the false alarms are filtered. This saves 21 hours of medical staff time through 2,560 hours of monitoring and significantly reduces the disturbance caused by alarming monitors.

Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. Annual International Conference Journal