Mid-Arm Muscle and Subcutaneous Fat Associated with All-Cause Mortality Independent of BMI: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Overview

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to systematically evaluate the association between triceps skinfold (TSF) thickness (which indicates subcutaneous fat) mid-arm muscle circumference (MAMC; which reflects muscle mass), mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC), and all-cause mortality. METHODS: A total of 17,717 adults from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (1993-2015) were included. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause mortality. The joint effect of TSF thickness and MAMC was examined, and planned subgroup analyses were performed. RESULTS: The highest quartiles of TSF thickness, MAMC, and MUAC were significantly associated with low all-cause mortality, independent of BMI (TSF thickness: HR = 0.704 [95% CI: 0.575-0.862]; MAMC: HR = 0.729 [95% CI: 0.607-0.876]; MUAC: HR = 0.713 [95% CI: 0.583-0.872]). A 1-SD increase showed comparable risk reductions for TSF thickness and MAMC (14.6% and 14.0%), with 16.1% risk reductions in MUAC. There were positive additive interactions between TSF thickness and MAMC. The inverse association existed in young, middle-aged, and elderly participants (P-heterogeneity > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Mid-arm muscle and subcutaneous fat were inversely associated with all-cause mortality, independent of BMI, beyond the elderly population. Mid-arm muscle and subcutaneous fat made comparable contributions to and had positive joint effects on all-cause mortality.